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Tampilkan postingan dengan label Commodities. Tampilkan semua postingan

Bullish Bets Fell Most in Seven Weeks Before Slump: Commodities

Posted by jalatama Senin, 13 Januari 2014 0 komentar


Hedge funds cut their bullish commodity wagers by the most in seven weeks before prices dropped to an eight-month low on signs of surplus supply and slowing economic growth in China.

The net-long position across 18 U.S.-traded commodities fell by 11 percent to 678,885 futures and options in the week ended Jan. 7, U.S. Commodity Future Trading Commission data show. Investors are the most bearish on wheat ever and anticipate lower prices for corn, coffee, sugar and soybean oil. Bullish gold wagers rose to the highest since mid-November.

Raw-material prices fell 3.5 percent since Dec. 31, the worst start to a year since 2007. In China, the biggest user of everything from pork to zinc to cotton, producer prices declined in December for a 22nd straight month, the longest decline since the Asian financial crisis in the 1990s. World stockpiles of wheat and soybeans will be bigger than analysts estimated, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said. Copper and nickel will be in surplus this year, Barclays Plc forecast.

Price Slump
The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Spot Index of 24 raw materials slid 0.7 percent last week, and reached 603.56 on Jan. 9, the lowest since April 23. The MSCI All-Country World index of equities gained 0.4 percent, while the Bloomberg Treasury Bond Index rose 0.1 percent. The Bloomberg Dollar Index, a gauge against 10 major trading partners, fell 0.2 percent.

A gauge of China’s services industries decreased to 50.9 in December from 52.5 the previous month, HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics Ltd. said Jan. 6. It was the second straight decline. The nation’s economy will expand 7.5 percent this year, the slowest since 1990, according to the median of 55 economist estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The country is the top metals and energy consumer.

Open interest across the members of the GSCI slumped 6.7 percent from last year’s high in June. Contracts outstanding fell 3.2 percent in the two months through December, the most in a year. Investors pulled a record $50 billion from passive index-swaps and exchange-traded products that are commodity linked, Citigroup Inc. said Jan. 7. That compares with an inflow of $27.5 billion in 2012.
(Source: Bloomberg)                         



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Gold Bears Return Before Yellen Signals More Easing: Commodities

Posted by jalatama Selasa, 19 November 2013 3 komentar
Investors got less bullish on gold as hedge funds doubled their short holdings just before prices erased a weekly loss and Janet Yellen pledged to press on with economic stimulus if confirmed as Federal Reserve chairman.

The net-long position in gold slumped 37 percent to 55,456 futures and options in the week ended Nov. 12, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show, the biggest drop since February. Short bets climbed to 54,143, the highest since mid-August, from 26,490 a week earlier. Net-bullish wagers across 18 U.S.-traded commodities dropped 12 percent to 576,224 contracts as investors became more bearish on wheat and cut their silver holdings by the most in five months.

Gold is heading for the first annual loss since 2000 after some investors lost their faith in the metal as a store of value. Global equities advanced to the highest in almost six years and U.S. inflation is running at 1.2 percent, half the rate of the past decade. Bullion reached a record in 2011 as the Fed pumped more than $2 trillion into the financial system. Gold rallied as Yellen said Nov. 14 she’s ready to back stimulus until she sees robust economic growth.
(Source: Bloomberg)

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Gold Bears Return Before Yellen Signals More Easing: Commodities

Posted by jalatama Senin, 18 November 2013 0 komentar


 Investors got less bullish on gold as hedge funds doubled their short holdings just before prices erased a weekly loss and Janet Yellen pledged to press on with economic stimulus if confirmed as Federal Reserve chairman.

The net-long position in gold slumped 37 percent to 55,456 futures and options in the week ended Nov. 12, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show, the biggest drop since February. Short bets climbed to 54,143, the highest since mid-August, from 26,490 a week earlier. Net-bullish wagers across 18 U.S.-traded commodities dropped 12 percent to 576,224 contracts as investors became more bearish on wheat and cut their silver holdings by the most in five months.

Gold is heading for the first annual loss since 2000 after some investors lost their faith in the metal as a store of value. Global equities advanced to the highest in almost six years last week and U.S. inflation is running at 1.2 percent, half the rate of the past decade. Bullion reached a record in 2011 as the Fed pumped more than $2 trillion into the financial system. Gold rallied as Yellen said Nov. 14 she’s ready to back stimulus until she sees robust economic growth.
(Source: Bloomberg)         

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